Copa Del Rey Spain Tue - Total

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Atletico Madrid v Barcelona.

My initial feeling was hey another sure over expecting us here and worth a shot,i check the line and see for O2.5 1.82 @ Betfair,seemed to me relatively high considering the fact last time these two played i had a bet for over 3 and after 15 mins the score was 3-1 for Barcelona back then.
the recent encounters histosry supports O2.5 without any doubt as well
<TABLE class=text cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=0 width=600 align=center border=0><TBODY><TR align=middle bgColor=white><TD class=textwhiteb align=middle bgColor=#003399 colSpan=5>Recent Encounters </TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=white><TD align=left width=190 bgColor=#edeef3>04/10/08</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#edeef3>Barcelona</TD><TD align=middle width=50 bgColor=#edeef3>6-1</TD><TD align=left bgColor=#edeef3>Atl.Madrid</TD><TD align=right width=190 bgColor=#edeef3>Spain Primera</TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=white><TD align=left width=190 bgColor=#ffffff>01/03/08</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>Atl.Madrid</TD><TD align=middle width=50 bgColor=#ffffff>4-2</TD><TD align=left bgColor=#ffffff>Barcelona</TD><TD align=right width=190 bgColor=#ffffff>Spain Primera</TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=white><TD align=left width=190 bgColor=#edeef3>07/10/07</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#edeef3>Barcelona</TD><TD align=middle width=50 bgColor=#edeef3>3-0</TD><TD align=left bgColor=#edeef3>Atl.Madrid</TD><TD align=right width=190 bgColor=#edeef3>Spain Primera</TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=white><TD align=left width=190 bgColor=#ffffff>20/05/07</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#ffffff>Atl.Madrid</TD><TD align=middle width=50 bgColor=#ffffff>0-6</TD><TD align=left bgColor=#ffffff>Barcelona</TD><TD align=right width=190 bgColor=#ffffff>Spain Primera</TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=white><TD align=left width=190 bgColor=#edeef3>21/12/06</TD><TD align=right bgColor=#edeef3>Barcelona</TD><TD align=middle width=50 bgColor=#edeef3>1-1</TD><TD align=left bgColor=#edeef3>Atl.Madrid</TD><TD align=right width=190 bgColor=#edeef3>Spain Primera</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
As far as line ups ,another point encouraging a play on the Over is Barcelona defence will be without Poyul,on other hand Madrid will be missing Aguero tonight,Messi is back and expected to start today.

Basically everything support Over,i am fading myself and my initial thought in light of the fact it is a cup game with 2 legs assuming Barcelona will slow things down and if into qualifying to next stage
try and get iT done at home.I believe Madrid this time will be cautious as well and despite being offensive team in its nature will try and be more cautious in regards to its back to avoid another humilation

I find the vlaue depsite reltively high line on O2.5 on the under as well

since it has been awhile with these two teams scoring less than 3 goals per match i will go for it tonight hoping for slow game and under.

U2.5 @ 2.20 Betfair.

Feel free to follow or fade,everything support for the most Over here and relatively quicky based on recent encounters between the two,just my intuition push me tongiht the other way.

Good luck.
 
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Well another over,i was trying to be smart ass,win some lose some,sorry f anyone tailed this time.
 

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